Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.106588 0.118333 0.130428 0.143783 0.158090 0.172926 0.189448
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.087684 0.105199 0.124199 0.146214 0.170887 0.197559 0.228445
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.077861 0.099887 0.124860 0.154950 0.189901 0.228905 0.275402
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.070368 0.095822 0.125817 0.163179 0.207873 0.259043 0.321458
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.061085 0.088227 0.121432 0.164111 0.216572 0.278037 0.354549
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.051773 0.079389 0.114460 0.160934 0.219553 0.289728 0.378724
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.047727 0.076850 0.114963 0.166694 0.233252 0.314240 0.418388
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.043593 0.073674 0.114212 0.170509 0.244307 0.335471 0.454208
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.039509 0.070091 0.112519 0.172761 0.253150 0.353879 0.486641
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.035493 0.066160 0.109964 0.173538 0.259849 0.369482 0.515615
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.035341 0.068002 0.115526 0.185445 0.281387 0.404271 0.569186
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.032356 0.065128 0.114067 0.187438 0.289592 0.421913 0.601131
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.029647 0.062621 0.113231 0.190607 0.299952 0.443211 0.639040
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.026460 0.059022 0.110547 0.191024 0.306591 0.459854 0.671409
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.025660 0.059435 0.114003 0.200463 0.325947 0.493695 0.726718
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.024905 0.059831 0.117396 0.209850 0.345376 0.527897 0.782935
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.022502 0.056930 0.115278 0.210757 0.352626 0.545618 0.817423
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.019456 0.052429 0.110212 0.206867 0.352762 0.553531 0.838843
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.018609 0.052137 0.112097 0.213716 0.368534 0.583023 0.889431
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.017441 0.051054 0.112539 0.218254 0.380947 0.607993 0.934170
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.016081 0.049401 0.111865 0.220933 0.390593 0.629186 0.973975
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.014588 0.047264 0.110177 0.221856 0.397556 0.646644 1.008821
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.015038 0.049541 0.116523 0.236025 0.424685 0.692798 1.083364